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Sales and revenueLTV

Lifetime value

LYFE-time VAL-yoo

The total gross profit expected from a customer over the entire relationship. LTV determines how much you can spend to acquire them.

LTV estimates how much total revenue you will earn from a customer over the entire relationship. The simple version: take the average revenue per customer per year, divide by your annual churn rate. If customers pay you $20k per year and your churn is 10%, your LTV is $200k. The math: a 10% churn rate means the average customer stays for 10 years. Multiply by $20k and you get $200k.

One catch. CFOs do not think in revenue. They think in gross margin. Gross margin is what is left after you subtract the direct costs of delivering your product: hosting, support, infrastructure. If a customer pays you $100k but costs you $30k to serve, your gross margin is $70k, or 70%. Real LTV calculations use gross profit, not revenue.

A customer paying $100k at 70% margin is worth more than a customer paying $120k at 40% margin. The first one nets you $70k per year. The second nets you $48k. Margin determines value, not price. Most SaaS companies aim for gross margins above 70%.

Examples

A developer tools company with low churn.

Average revenue per customer is $24k/year. Annual churn is 8%. Average customer lifespan is 12.5 years. LTV = $24k x 12.5 = $300k. At 75% gross margin, gross-profit LTV is $225k.

A self-serve product with high churn.

Customers pay $1,200/year ($100/month). Monthly churn is 5%, which annualizes to roughly 46%. Average lifespan is about 20 months. LTV is only $2,000. You cannot spend much to acquire these customers.

Board presentation comparing two segments.

Enterprise customers: $150k ACV, 5% churn, LTV = $3M. SMB customers: $12k ACV, 20% churn, LTV = $60k. The enterprise segment is 50x more valuable per customer. That is why enterprise sales teams exist.

In practice

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Related terms

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